Manifold alternatives
Manifold alternatives in France
Is Manifold legal in France?
Quick answer
Manifold is freely accessible from France. The platform runs in play-money mode, so it doesn't trigger local wagering or securities licensing, anyone can sign up with an email address.
Available alternatives in France
| Platform | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Largest crypto-settled prediction market by volume; USDC on Polygon. | Blocked | Reachable via VPN, Polymarket ToS gray zone. |
| Kalshi CFTC-regulated US exchange; USD settlement, KYC required. | Blocked | CFTC-regulated, US residents only. Not available in France. |
| Smarkets UK-licensed betting exchange with political and event markets. | Restricted | UK-licensed betting exchange. France is not on the platform's served jurisdictions, most French users are blocked at signup. |
| Limitless Newer on-chain prediction market on Base; lower fees, smaller volume. | Available | On-chain on Base; accessible from a French IP at time of writing, but legal status is unclear, use with caution. |
| PredictIt Academic political prediction market run by Victoria University of Wellington. | Blocked | Available to US and New Zealand residents only. |
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Regulatory context
The AMF is the French financial markets regulator. It maintains a public blacklist of unauthorized investment websites and warns that offering binary-option-style contracts to French residents without authorization is a criminal offense under the Monetary and Financial Code.
Official source: amf-france.orgOther platforms in France
Common questions
01Is Manifold legal in France?
Is Manifold legal in France?
Manifold is freely accessible from France. The platform runs in play-money mode, so it doesn't trigger local wagering or securities licensing, anyone can sign up with an email address.
02What's the best Manifold alternative in France?
What's the best Manifold alternative in France?
Limitless, Newer on-chain prediction market on Base; lower fees, smaller volume. It works natively from France and is the cleanest fallback when Manifold isn't an option.
03Is Manifold real money?
Is Manifold real money?
No. Manifold uses an internal play-money currency called mana. You earn or lose mana on your predictions; you can't cash it out for fiat. There's a charity-redemption pathway in some regions.
04Why use Manifold if there's no real money?
Why use Manifold if there's no real money?
Three reasons: forecasting practice without financial risk, broader market coverage (anyone can create a market on any topic), and accessibility, Manifold works from jurisdictions where real-money prediction markets are blocked.
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Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Limitless, Smarkets, Qotify's vision AI reads any orderbook image and returns implied probability, fair value, edge, and a suggested action.