Prediction markets
Which prediction-market platform should you use in 2026?
Six platforms cover the vast majority of real-money and play-money prediction trading: Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Smarkets, Limitless, PredictIt. Each one serves a different jurisdiction, settlement currency, and product shape. Open the hub for the platform you're considering, you'll see where it's usable, where it isn't, and what to use instead.
The six platforms
- PolymarketLargest crypto-settled prediction market by volume; USDC on Polygon.Explore →
- KalshiCFTC-regulated US exchange; USD settlement, KYC required.Explore →
- ManifoldPlay-money prediction market, no real cash, free to use globally.Explore →
- SmarketsUK-licensed betting exchange with political and event markets.Explore →
- LimitlessNewer on-chain prediction market on Base; lower fees, smaller volume.Explore →
- PredictItAcademic political prediction market run by Victoria University of Wellington.Explore →
Prediction markets: common questions
01Which prediction-market platform is best in 2026?
Which prediction-market platform is best in 2026?
There is no single best one, it depends on where you live and whether you want real-money or play-money markets. Polymarket and Kalshi dominate real-money volume, Kalshi is the regulated US option, Manifold is play-money and open worldwide, Smarkets and PredictIt serve narrower niches, and Limitless is the newer on-chain entrant.
02Which prediction markets are available in the US?
Which prediction markets are available in the US?
Kalshi is the only federally regulated real-money prediction market open to US residents. PredictIt operates under a narrower legal arrangement with low position limits. Polymarket geo-blocks US users, while Manifold is play-money and available everywhere.
03Polymarket vs Kalshi: what is the difference?
Polymarket vs Kalshi: what is the difference?
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange that settles in dollars and requires KYC. Polymarket is a crypto-native platform that settles in USDC stablecoin with deeper volume on global events, but it geo-blocks several countries including the US. Pick Kalshi for regulated US access, Polymarket for broader market coverage where it is allowed.
04What can I use if a prediction market is blocked in my country?
What can I use if a prediction market is blocked in my country?
Open the platform's hub above to see its country-by-country status and the closest legal alternative for your jurisdiction. In most blocked regions a play-money platform like Manifold, or a regional regulated exchange, is the practical substitute.
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