Risk Disclosure
qotify.io — Trading & Prediction Market Risk Statement
Effective: May 21, 2026
1. General Risk Warning
TRADING ON PREDICTION MARKETS AND OTHER SPECULATIVE VENUES INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS. DO NOT STAKE MORE THAN YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE ENTIRELY.
Qotify is an AI-powered screenshot analysis tool designed to provide market observations and an opinionated read on orderbook screenshots from prediction markets. Using Qotify does not reduce or eliminate the inherent risks associated with trading binary event-contracts, prediction-market shares, or any other instrument.
By using Qotify, you acknowledge and accept that:
- Prediction markets are inherently volatile and resolution outcomes are uncertain.
- No analysis, tool, or person can guarantee profitable outcomes.
- All trading and staking decisions carry the potential for significant or total loss of capital.
- Past performance (historical data, backtests, screenshots, or hypothetical examples) does not guarantee future results.
- Qotify does not place trades, manage money, hold funds, or provide personalized investment advice.
2. Prediction-Market-Specific Risks
Prediction markets (including Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Smarkets, Limitless, PredictIt and similar venues) carry their own distinct risk profile that goes beyond mainstream financial markets:
- Resolution risk.Every contract eventually resolves YES or NO based on an oracle, court, panel, or off-chain source. Resolution can be delayed, disputed, unexpected, or in some cases overturned. A position you believe is "guaranteed" can still resolve against you.
- Liquidity risk. Many markets have thin orderbooks. Bid-ask spreads can be wide, slippage can be severe, and exiting a position before resolution may be impossible at any reasonable price.
- Volatility risk.Prices can move 20–80% within minutes on news, tweets, or rumours. Stops do not exist on most prediction markets; you cannot rely on being able to cut a loser.
- Regulatory risk. Prediction markets occupy a contested legal area. Access has already been restricted, suspended, or banned in several jurisdictions (including, at various points, the United States, France, Belgium, Singapore, and others). Rules change without warning and can render your positions illiquid or inaccessible.
- Counterparty and platform risk.Exchanges, custodians, and on-chain protocols can fail, freeze withdrawals, be exploited, or change terms unilaterally. Funds held with any third party are exposed to that party's solvency, security, and conduct.
- Smart-contract and on-chain risk. Markets that settle on-chain inherit the full risk surface of the underlying blockchain: contract bugs, oracle failures, wallet compromise, gas spikes, MEV, chain reorganisations, and bridge exploits.
- Manipulation risk. Low-volume markets are susceptible to wash trading, spoofing, and coordinated pumps. The visible orderbook does not always reflect honest interest.
- Tax and reporting risk. Gains and losses on event-contracts may be taxable in your jurisdiction. Tax treatment differs widely across countries and can change.
- No insurance, no investor protection. Funds staked on prediction markets are typically not covered by any deposit-insurance or investor-compensation scheme.
3. AI Tool-Specific Risks
Qotify uses third-party vision language models to read screenshots and produce written analysis. AI analysis has inherent limitations:
- Image-quality dependence. Compression, blur, cropping, dark-mode inversions, scrolled-off content, and obscured tooltips all degrade what the model can see. Numbers may be misread.
- Pattern-recognition limits. The model recognises patterns in orderbook structure and resolution context but cannot reason about novel events, breaking news posted after the screenshot, or off-screen information.
- Training-data bias. Models are trained on historical data, which may not reflect current market structure, current platform mechanics, or current geopolitical conditions.
- Model error and hallucination.AI models can produce plausible-sounding but inaccurate or misleading output, including invented numbers, mis-identified platforms, or false claims about a market's resolution criteria. Always verify against the actual market page before placing a position.
- Stale context. Analysis reflects the screenshot at the moment of upload. Prices, depth, and odds move continuously; the read can be obsolete by the time you act on it.
- Provider dependency. Qotify routes inference through third-party AI providers (currently OpenRouter and the underlying model vendors). Outages, model deprecations, or quality regressions on the provider side directly affect output quality and may not be detectable from the user-facing interface.
- Overreliance risk. Using Qotify as the sole basis for staking decisions significantly increases risk of loss. The tool is designed as a second opinion, not a substitute for your own research and judgment.
4. No Guaranteed Returns or Profits
THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFIT. THERE IS NO PROTECTION AGAINST LOSSES.
Qotify does not:
- Guarantee any level of returns, hit-rate, or profitability.
- Promise winning trade percentages, ROI figures, or success rates.
- Protect against partial or total loss of capital.
- Provide insurance against adverse resolutions or market shocks.
- Compensate users for losses resulting from any decision made on the platform.
Any statements about potential edge, "move-to-make", suggested sizing, or risk rating produced by the Service are:
- Opinionated reads based on a single screenshot and limited context.
- Not predictions or guarantees of future resolution.
- Not suitable as the sole basis for trading decisions.
- Subject to substantial error and deviation from reality.
All staking and trading carries the risk of total loss. You may lose some or all of your capital.
5. Regulatory Considerations & Disclaimers
Qotify is not a financial institution, investment advisor, broker, exchange, prediction market, or registered entity with any financial regulator.
Qotify does not:
- Hold or control customer funds, deposits, or staked positions.
- Execute trades, route orders, or manage accounts on your behalf.
- Provide regulated financial advice in any jurisdiction.
- Offer accounts, wallets, or trading venues (Qotify is screenshot-analysis software only).
- Guarantee compliance with any user's local regulatory requirements.
Responsibility for compliance. It is your responsibility to:
- Ensure that your use of Qotify complies with all applicable laws and regulations in your jurisdiction.
- Verify that trading or staking on the prediction-market platforms you analyse is legal where you reside.
- Report all trading activity, gains, and losses to the appropriate tax authorities.
- Consult a licensed financial advisor for personal regulatory guidance.
6. Acknowledgment & Acceptance of Risks
By using Qotify, you acknowledge and agree that you:
- Understand that prediction-market trading involves substantial financial risk.
- Have read, understood, and accept all terms of this Risk Disclosure and the full Terms of Service.
- Accept full responsibility for your trading and staking decisions.
- Will not hold Qotify, its founders, or any related parties responsible for losses.
- Are aware that past performance does not indicate future results.
- Will conduct your own independent research before placing any position based on output from the Service.
- Will only stake capital you can afford to lose entirely.
- May seek advice from a qualified financial professional before making significant decisions.
You use Qotify entirely at your own risk. You are solely responsible for all outcomes, profits, and losses.
7. Contact
For questions about this Risk Disclosure or to report concerns: qotify.io@gmail.com
Website: https://www.qotify.io
Last updated: May 21, 2026
This Risk Disclosure is provided for informational purposes. It is not legal advice. For legal or regulatory guidance, consult a qualified attorney or financial advisor in your jurisdiction.