Kalshi alternatives
Kalshi alternatives in France
Is Kalshi legal in France?
Quick answer
Kalshi is unavailable to France residents. The exchange is registered with the CFTC as a US Designated Contract Market and onboards only US persons, KYC requires a US identity document and a US bank account, so a VPN does not help. France residents are filtered at the KYC step.
Available alternatives in France
| Platform | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Largest crypto-settled prediction market by volume; USDC on Polygon. | Blocked | Reachable via VPN, Polymarket ToS gray zone. |
| Manifold Play-money prediction market, no real cash, free to use globally. | Available | Free, play-money only, no regulated investment activity, so no AMF/ANJ conflict. |
| Smarkets UK-licensed betting exchange with political and event markets. | Restricted | UK-licensed betting exchange. France is not on the platform's served jurisdictions, most French users are blocked at signup. |
| Limitless Newer on-chain prediction market on Base; lower fees, smaller volume. | Available | On-chain on Base; accessible from a French IP at time of writing, but legal status is unclear, use with caution. |
| PredictIt Academic political prediction market run by Victoria University of Wellington. | Blocked | Available to US and New Zealand residents only. |
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Regulatory context
The AMF is the French financial markets regulator. It maintains a public blacklist of unauthorized investment websites and warns that offering binary-option-style contracts to French residents without authorization is a criminal offense under the Monetary and Financial Code.
Official source: amf-france.orgOther platforms in France
Common questions
01Is Kalshi legal in France?
Is Kalshi legal in France?
Kalshi is unavailable to France residents. The exchange is registered with the CFTC as a US Designated Contract Market and onboards only US persons, KYC requires a US identity document and a US bank account, so a VPN does not help. France residents are filtered at the KYC step.
02What's the best Kalshi alternative in France?
What's the best Kalshi alternative in France?
Manifold, Play-money prediction market, no real cash, free to use globally. It works natively from France and is the cleanest fallback when Kalshi isn't an option.
03Why is Kalshi US-only?
Why is Kalshi US-only?
Kalshi is a CFTC-registered Designated Contract Market. Its license is granted under US commodities law and covers US persons only. International expansion would require equivalent registrations in each target jurisdiction.
04Does a VPN work to access Kalshi from outside the US?
Does a VPN work to access Kalshi from outside the US?
No, Kalshi's gate is hard KYC, not just an IP check. Onboarding requires a US driver's license or SSN plus a US bank account for ACH funding. A VPN hides your IP but doesn't produce those documents.
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Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Limitless, Smarkets, Qotify's vision AI reads any orderbook image and returns implied probability, fair value, edge, and a suggested action.