PredictIt alternatives
PredictIt alternatives in Switzerland
Is PredictIt legal in Switzerland?
Quick answer
PredictIt doesn't serve Switzerland. The platform operates under a US CFTC no-action letter and a New Zealand academic-research permission; Switzerland residents are filtered at KYC.
Available alternatives in Switzerland
| Platform | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Largest crypto-settled prediction market by volume; USDC on Polygon. | Restricted | Reachable via VPN, Polymarket ToS gray zone. |
| Kalshi CFTC-regulated US exchange; USD settlement, KYC required. | Blocked | — |
| Manifold Play-money prediction market, no real cash, free to use globally. | Available | — |
| Smarkets UK-licensed betting exchange with political and event markets. | Restricted | — |
| Limitless Newer on-chain prediction market on Base; lower fees, smaller volume. | Available | — |
Want to start analyzing your trades?
Find the edge in 5 seconds
Drop a prediction-market screenshot. Qotify reads it and returns implied probability, fair value, and a suggested action.
Analyze a tradeFree to try
Regulatory context
FINMA regulates Switzerland's financial markets. It publishes warnings against unauthorized firms offering investment, banking, or crypto-asset services without the relevant Swiss license.
Official source: finma.chOther platforms in Switzerland
Common questions
01Is PredictIt legal in Switzerland?
Is PredictIt legal in Switzerland?
PredictIt doesn't serve Switzerland. The platform operates under a US CFTC no-action letter and a New Zealand academic-research permission; Switzerland residents are filtered at KYC.
02What's the best PredictIt alternative in Switzerland?
What's the best PredictIt alternative in Switzerland?
Manifold, Play-money prediction market, no real cash, free to use globally. It works natively from Switzerland and is the cleanest fallback when PredictIt isn't an option.
03Why is PredictIt so small?
Why is PredictIt so small?
It runs under an academic exception, not a full exchange license. Per-market position caps (~$850 USD) and a narrow US-politics catalog limit volume. The CFTC has repeatedly proposed pulling the no-action letter.
04Is PredictIt being shut down?
Is PredictIt being shut down?
The CFTC has indicated it intends to wind down PredictIt, but ongoing litigation has paused enforcement. The platform continues to operate for now; new traders should weigh that uncertainty.
05Swiss alternatives?
Swiss alternatives?
Manifold and Limitless are the realistic options.
06VPN from Switzerland?
VPN from Switzerland?
Some users do. Same gray-zone caveat as elsewhere.
Works with any orderbook
Drop a screenshot. Get the edge in seconds.
Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Limitless, Smarkets, Qotify's vision AI reads any orderbook image and returns implied probability, fair value, edge, and a suggested action.