PredictIt alternatives
PredictIt alternatives in Sweden
Is PredictIt legal in Sweden?
Quick answer
PredictIt doesn't serve Sweden. The platform operates under a US CFTC no-action letter and a New Zealand academic-research permission; Sweden residents are filtered at KYC.
Available alternatives in Sweden
| Platform | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Largest crypto-settled prediction market by volume; USDC on Polygon. | Blocked | Reachable via VPN, Polymarket ToS gray zone. |
| Kalshi CFTC-regulated US exchange; USD settlement, KYC required. | Blocked | — |
| Manifold Play-money prediction market, no real cash, free to use globally. | Available | — |
| Smarkets UK-licensed betting exchange with political and event markets. | Restricted | — |
| Limitless Newer on-chain prediction market on Base; lower fees, smaller volume. | Available | — |
Want to start analyzing your trades?
Find the edge in 5 seconds
Drop a prediction-market screenshot. Qotify reads it and returns implied probability, fair value, and a suggested action.
Analyze a tradeFree to try
Regulatory context
Finansinspektionen is the Swedish FSA. It maintains a public warning list of unauthorized firms targeting Swedish residents with investment or crypto-related services.
Official source: fi.seOther platforms in Sweden
Common questions
01Is PredictIt legal in Sweden?
Is PredictIt legal in Sweden?
PredictIt doesn't serve Sweden. The platform operates under a US CFTC no-action letter and a New Zealand academic-research permission; Sweden residents are filtered at KYC.
02What's the best PredictIt alternative in Sweden?
What's the best PredictIt alternative in Sweden?
Manifold, Play-money prediction market, no real cash, free to use globally. It works natively from Sweden and is the cleanest fallback when PredictIt isn't an option.
03Why is PredictIt so small?
Why is PredictIt so small?
It runs under an academic exception, not a full exchange license. Per-market position caps (~$850 USD) and a narrow US-politics catalog limit volume. The CFTC has repeatedly proposed pulling the no-action letter.
04Is PredictIt being shut down?
Is PredictIt being shut down?
The CFTC has indicated it intends to wind down PredictIt, but ongoing litigation has paused enforcement. The platform continues to operate for now; new traders should weigh that uncertainty.
05Swedish alternatives?
Swedish alternatives?
Manifold and Limitless. No locally licensed prediction-market exchange.
06VPN from Sweden?
VPN from Sweden?
Some users do. Same caveats.
Works with any orderbook
Drop a screenshot. Get the edge in seconds.
Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Limitless, Smarkets, Qotify's vision AI reads any orderbook image and returns implied probability, fair value, edge, and a suggested action.