Kalshi alternatives
Kalshi alternatives in Netherlands
Is Kalshi legal in Netherlands?
Quick answer
Kalshi is unavailable to Netherlands residents. The exchange is registered with the CFTC as a US Designated Contract Market and onboards only US persons, KYC requires a US identity document and a US bank account, so a VPN does not help. Netherlands residents are filtered at the KYC step.
Available alternatives in Netherlands
| Platform | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket Largest crypto-settled prediction market by volume; USDC on Polygon. | Blocked | Reachable via VPN, Polymarket ToS gray zone. |
| Manifold Play-money prediction market, no real cash, free to use globally. | Available | — |
| Smarkets UK-licensed betting exchange with political and event markets. | Restricted | — |
| Limitless Newer on-chain prediction market on Base; lower fees, smaller volume. | Available | — |
| PredictIt Academic political prediction market run by Victoria University of Wellington. | Blocked | — |
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Regulatory context
The AFM supervises Dutch financial markets and publishes warnings against unauthorized investment service providers. It coordinates with the KSA on products that straddle investment and wagering categories.
Official source: afm.nlOther platforms in Netherlands
Common questions
01Is Kalshi legal in Netherlands?
Is Kalshi legal in Netherlands?
Kalshi is unavailable to Netherlands residents. The exchange is registered with the CFTC as a US Designated Contract Market and onboards only US persons, KYC requires a US identity document and a US bank account, so a VPN does not help. Netherlands residents are filtered at the KYC step.
02What's the best Kalshi alternative in Netherlands?
What's the best Kalshi alternative in Netherlands?
Manifold, Play-money prediction market, no real cash, free to use globally. It works natively from Netherlands and is the cleanest fallback when Kalshi isn't an option.
03Why is Kalshi US-only?
Why is Kalshi US-only?
Kalshi is a CFTC-registered Designated Contract Market. Its license is granted under US commodities law and covers US persons only. International expansion would require equivalent registrations in each target jurisdiction.
04Does a VPN work to access Kalshi from outside the US?
Does a VPN work to access Kalshi from outside the US?
No, Kalshi's gate is hard KYC, not just an IP check. Onboarding requires a US driver's license or SSN plus a US bank account for ACH funding. A VPN hides your IP but doesn't produce those documents.
05Best alternative in the Netherlands?
Best alternative in the Netherlands?
Manifold and Limitless cover the bulk of use cases. Manifold for play-money topical breadth, Limitless for on-chain real-money trades.
06VPN from the Netherlands?
VPN from the Netherlands?
It happens. Same setup as elsewhere, ToS gray zone, small risk. The clean platforms above sidestep the question entirely.
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Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Limitless, Smarkets, Qotify's vision AI reads any orderbook image and returns implied probability, fair value, edge, and a suggested action.